NCAA Tournament Round 2: Friday

Written By John Robledo

Credit: Newsday

We’ll be handicapping every NCAA Tournament game to help everyone this month. We feel it is necessary to give y’all as much information as possible to be successful during March Madness. There are hundreds of ways to gamble on the tournament or fill out your bracket so that’s why we will try to get you everything you need. We went 57% last year with riding UConn winning the National Championship. BUT THAT WAS LAST YEAR! Time to move! Let’s go!

College Basketball Season Record: 248-246-14 — Betting 1 Unit to Win X
NCAA Tournament Record (2-1)

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  • 11:20am cst: Northwestern Wildcats vs. Florida Atlantic Owls -4.5; Total 143.5

This is a tight matchup with two veteran teams. FAU has the better offense & rebounding. Northwestern can shoot the three and does not turn the ball over. This game will come down to three pointers and turnovers. It’s that tricky 4.5 line where either the favorite dominates or the dog has the chance to win outright. We have been avoiding teams that live and die by the three. I’m backing the rebounding team that is a little hotter coming into March.

Pick: Florida Atlantic -4 (-110) [via BetOnline]

  • 11:45pm cst: Colgate Raiders vs. Baylor Bears -15; Total 138

Colgate has a strong defense but Baylor is one of the best in the country on offense. Baylor will create more possessions and opportunities with their rebounding. Baylor’s veteran guards are also a major upgrade.

Pick: Baylor -15 (-110) [via DraftKings]

  • 12:50pm cst: UAB Blazers vs. San Diego State Aztecs -6.5; Total 139.5

UAB is coming into this game red hot. San Diego State can struggle on offense and go cold. This should be a close game. UAB has the better offense but the Aztecs have the better defense. UAB can also rebound and is tough out of the battle tested American conference. I like UAB to keep this game close with their offense.

Pick: UAB +6.5 (-110) [via DraftKings]

  • 1:00pm cst: Western Kentucky vs. Marquette Golden Eagles -14.5; Total 157.5

There isn’t much offense from Western Kentucky they are a very strong defensive and rebounding team. Is Tyler Kolek healthy? I’m assuming he is good enough to play after rest but we do not know. Can Western Kentucky keep up offensively? I cannot trust the WKU offense. I rather back the Marquette defense going with my gut like in the YouTube video.

Pick: Marquette -14.5 (-112) [via DraftKings]

  • 1:50pm cst: Stetson Hatters vs. UConn Huskies -26.5; Total 145.5

Stetson has played some tough teams but UCONN is tough and the bet team in the country. Stetson also loss to Houston by 31 points.

Pick: PENDING

  • 2:15pm cst: New Mexico Lobos -2.5 vs. Clemson Tigers; Total 152

New Mexico is red hot right now with great guard play and rebounding. New Mexico has the better defense and team rebounding. The Lobos will need to just keep Clemson off of the three point line.

Pick: New Mexico -2.5 (-108) [via DraftKings]

  • 3:00pm cst: Yale Bulldogs vs. Auburn Tigers -13; Total 140.5

Auburn is getting disrespected with this line in my opinion. Yale won the Ivy League by a miracle meltdown by Brown. Auburn ran through the SEC and has much higher metrics than Yale. I’m still backing the Tigers here on their redemption tour.

Pick: Auburn -13 (-110) [via DraftKings]

  • 3:30pm cst: Colorado Buffalos vs. Florida Gators -1.5; Total 158.5

Colorado looked good against Boise State but did a terrible job at rebounding the basketball. Florida is one of the best rebounding teams in the country. Not sure how they will perform after the injury to their big man. I still think Florida is a strong team and will throw Colorado off their game.

Pick: Florida -1.5 (-108) [via DraftKings]

  • 5:50pm cst: Texas A&M Aggies vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers -1; Total 147.5

ATM struggled last year losing in their first round game to Pen State. Nebraska has such an underrated defense. ATM is the best rebounding team in the country but one of the worst three point shooting teams. Will the Aggies get more scoring from anyone not named Wade Taylor? Nebraska is a bit more well rounded offensively and if Tominaga gets hot - watchout!

Pick: Nebraska -1 (-105) [via DraftKings]

  • 6:15pm cst: Vermont Catamounts vs. Duke Blue Devils -12.5; Total 132

Vermont continued to take money all week but the line didn’t move much. Vermont has a tough defense but this will be the best team they have played all season. Vermont does not do much else very well and can’t shoot the three. This is a bad matchup for them. Duke can break out here after being rested.

Pick: Duke -12.5 (-112) [via DraftKings]

  • 6:30pm cst: Grambling State Tigers vs. Purdue Boilermakers -27; Total 138.5

Pick: PENDING

  • 6:30pm cst: College of Charleston Cougars vs. Alabama Crimson Tide -9; Total 173

Too high powered offenses. Not much defense especially from Alabama. Both are great rebounding teams as well. Bama also turns the ball over too many times. I like Charleston to keep this game close with the lack of Alabama’s defense.

Pick: Charleston +9 (-108) [via DraftKings]

  • 8:25pm cst: Longwood Lancers vs. Houston Cougars -24; Total 128

Houston has such a great defense and the best in the country. Longwood finished fifth in their conference. This will be tough for the Lancers.

Pick: PENDING

  • 8:40pm cst: James Madison Dukes vs. Wisconsin Badgers -5.5; Total 145

James Madison rates higher in all categories. Wisconsin is a terrible rebounding team. The Dukes are for real and can play. I think they can win this game.

Pick: James Madison +5.5 (-108) [via DraftKings]

  • 9:00pm cst: TCU Horned Frogs -4 vs. Utah State Aggies; Total 151

This will be Utah State’s offense vs. TCU’s defense. TCU has a pretty good at shooting three point threes and rebounding with veteran players. TCU does have a turnover problem but they are the better team that just needs to keep Utah State off the three point line.

Pick: TCU -4 (-110) [via DraftKings]

  • 9:00pm cst: Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. St. Mary’s Gaels -5.5; Total 131.5

The Antelopes are the trending underdog. This a close to even game but how tested have the Antelopes been? We saw what happened to McNeese against Gonzaga. Gran Canyon turns the ball over too many times. Close metrics but St. Mary’s is better in everyone of them. If St. Mary’s plays like they have been the whole second half of its season they will have another great game. They love capitalizing on turnovers.

Pick: St. Mary’s -5.5 (-112) [via DraftKings]

OUR FUTURES ARE LISTED BELOW VIDEOS

Our Full Season Futures (-10.00 units):

[Preseason 11/7/23 - via DK]

  • Florida Atlantic Owls 40/1

  • Texas Longhorns 40/1

  • Baylor Bears 40/1

  • Texas A&M Aggies 55/1

  • Oregon Ducks 75/1

[11/20/23 - via DK]

  • Mississippi State Bulldogs 150/1

[12/5/23] - via DK]

  • North Carolina Tar Heels 30/1

  • Florida Atlantic Owls 40/1

  • Texas Longhorns 55/1

[12/16/23 - via DK]

  • North Carolina Tar Heels 30/1

[1/17/24 - via DK]

  • North Carolina Tar Heels 16/1

  • Baylor Bears 30/1

  • Oregon Ducks 100/1

[1/24/24 - via Circa Sports]

  • North Carolina Tar Heels 14/1

  • Texas Longhorns 90/1

[2/17/24 - via DK]

  • Auburn Tigers 18/1

  • Kentucky Wildcats 25/1

  • San Diego State Aztecs 70/1

[2/21/24 - via DK]

  • Florida Gators 80/1

[2/28/24 - via DK]

  • Auburn Tigers 18/1

  • Kentucky Wildcats 22/1

  • Baylor Bears 45/1

  • Texas Longhorns 100/1

[3/2/24 - via DK]

  • Auburn Tigers 20/1

  • Kentucky Wildcats 22/1

  • Florida Gators 60/1

John Robledo
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